ClearValue Investing posts
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Positions Update - 1/5/2026
I just want to share my opinion on our current positions. This is a longer post, so if you don't have the time, you should just review the ones you're interested in. Options:AG 1/9/26 $14 Put (Shorted): this is going to expire Friday. The position is up 97.5%. There's only 2.5% of gains remaining to capture...
USA & Venezuela
Yes, I'm aware that The President of Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro, has been captured and taken into US custody. I know there's many questions regarding these developing current events. First, I want you to know that the majority of Venezuelans are actually happy. I've been to Caracas, I've been to Maracay,...
WeBull Stock (BULL)
When I enter into a position, I typically like to dollar-cost-average in with three batches. Three is an arbitrary number. You can do so with four batches, five batches, etc. I entered my initial position in WeBull (BULL) at $8.55 not too long ago, please refer to my previous post.As I mentioned in that post:1. The amo...
Heightened Volatility For Gold & Silver
Expect further heightened volatility ahead.On Friday, we saw a large spike in gold & silver. Today on Monday, we’re seeing a sharp correction down.As someone already positioned in gold and silver, I am not buying anything or selling anything today on this Monday.If precious metals corrects further, it is my expectati...
If You Sold Your Silver Too Early
After reading the comments, I see that many people have sold their silver too early. First, you should not be kicking yourself, especially if you made a profit. You had your reasons to sell at that point in time. Maybe you expected a pullback. Maybe you wanted to lock in your gains. You did not make an illogical decisi...
Do Not Sell Your Silver
Silver is now at $79.59 a troy oz. I am not selling my silver at $79.59. Am I going to sell a portion at $79.59? No. Is there a valid argument to take some money off the table and de-risk? Yes, there is, however, I am choosing not to (which there is a valid argument not to as well). The gold-to-silver ratio (GSR) is at...
Q4 2025 Results from Gold Miners will Shock
Q4 2025 results from gold miners will be absolutely shocking in a good way. Just look at the price of gold in Q3 vs. Q4. My strongest conviction play for gold mining stocks still remains B2Gold (BTG). At $4,500/oz gold, I expect them to have a phenomenal Q4, yet, their share price at $4.80 is far below their recent hig...
AG Trade Closed for a Win!
Summary: AG Position is now closedNet Gain: 16.3% gain in 2 months (97.9% annualized) Here’s what happened:We wrote puts on AG for $12.50 for $0.90 on Oct. 22nd, which got assigned to us. Essentially, we were forced to buy AG at $12.50 but we got compensated $0.90 to do so. Therefore, we really ended up buying AG for...
New Stock I’m Buying
I will be buying shares of Webull stock (BULL). It will not be a large amount, but it will not be a small amount. It will be a decent amount, however, if it goes down more, I will cost average down.Webull is a trading/investing platform like Robinhood. They’ve been doing well in terms of client acquisition, financial...
Fed Chair Wager - Update
I recently placed a wager for the next Fed Chair nominee to be Christopher Waller, which I got for 5 cents (payout is $1 if correct, so 20 to 1 odds). It was a small bet that was acting as a hedge. Trump is going to do a final interview with Waller. The odds of Waller being the nominee have now gone up from 5 cents to ...
Writing Cash-Secured Puts on BTG
I am writing cash-secured puts on BTG. Essentially, we are selling the puts (or shorting the puts). We want the price to be above $4.50 by January 16th. if it’s below $4.50 by then, we would be forced to buy those shares for $4.50 (but we get paid 0.30 a share to do so). If it’s above $4.50 by January 16th, then we...
My Two Biggest Concerns Right Now
Gold and silver have been experiencing a good December so far. However, it's not quite time to celebrate just yet because two things concern me at the moment. Before I proceed, I want to say that I (as well as many others) are already well positioned with our gold and silver exposure. But as I said in an earlier po...
Fed QE (Money-Printing) starts this month!
Wow, the Fed's money printing will begin this month at $40 billion dollars a month. This is AMAZING for gold and silver, yet the market is not reacting. I'm sure it will shortly. They're calling it "reserve asset management" because it doesn't meet the "technical definition" of quantitat...
Short Term AEM Trade
I will be doing cash secured puts on AEM.I will be selling (writing) puts on AEM’s January 16th expiry for $4.20 at the $155 strike.We want AEM’s stock price to be above $155 by January 16th.I’m taking advantage of AEM’s dip today.
Entering Into New Short-Term Trade - AG
I am entering into a new short-term position. I am repeating the cash-secured put trade for AG for a January 9th, 2026 expiry at a $14 strike for approximately $0.77. Essentially, I am writing a put option (which means I am selling the put option). The contract expires on January 9th, 2026. If AG is at $14 or below on ...
AG Covered Call Position Closed for a Win!
I'm happy to announce that this trade has now closed for a win.We purchased AG for $12.33 on October 27th. The position closes today because the price is $13+. Essentially, we purchased AG for $12.33 and sold it for $13.25. That is a 7.5% return in 6 weeks. But let this be a lesson of the disadvantages of a covered...
Next Fed Chair Wager
President Trump says that he'll announce the Fed Chair nominee in early 2026. The current Fed Chair, J Powell, has his term expiring in May of 2026. I want to EMPHASIZE and STRESS that I am making a VERY SMALL wager on a longshot, Christopher Waller, to be nominated as the next Fed Chair. It's at 5% odds, which...
AG Positions
Currently, we have two covered call positions on AG.The goal is to have these two positions close. We just need it to stay above $13 by 12/5 and 12/19. Right now, we have a good cushion as AG sits around $15. If AG falls to the $14 or $13 range, then I would be open to repeating the trade (writing another cash secured ...
Status Update on Positioning
As you witnessed, we just got through a nasty correction in precious metals in November. As mentioned, it's going to be a bumpy ride up, which is why it's so important to manage your debt (margin) so you don't get shaken out during the downswings. Here's where we're at with our positions:Our core po...
Writing Covered Calls on AG
I am writing covered calls on First Majestic (AG) for December 5th.In other words, we are selling the call options. We purchased the AG shares for $12.33 on October 27th.
Everything Taking a Turn for The Worse
It looks like everything is taking a turn for the worse. This includes bitcoin, stocks, precious metals. At this moment, I'm taking no action (not buying or selling), just staying put. For our underlying gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) positions, it's just a long term hold in the early stages of a bull cycle. For o...
Wrote AG Calls
I just wrote these call options on the AG shares that got assigned.These are the AG $13.00 strike expiring on December 19th.Here’s what happened:We wrote puts on AG for $12.50 that expired last Friday for $0.90. We were forced to buy AG at $12.50 but we got compensated $0.90 to do so. Therefore, we really ended up bu...
AG Writing of Put Option Position
Three weeks ago, we wrote the AG $12.50 Put Option expiring on November 14th (today) for $0.90. Right now, the position is up around 57%. If you want to close the position now (buy the $12.50 put to close), then that wouldn't be a bad idea and please enjoy the win. However, I plan on being assigned the shares. In o...
Government Shutdown Trade Closed
This trade has now been closed for a win. Congratulations to all!
Fake News Being Called Out About Mali
Finally, African media is finally calling out the French media propaganda campaign against Mali. Here is one of multiple examples: https://africa.dailynewsegypt.com/malian-diaspora-in-france-condemns-biased-media-campaigns-targeting-bamako/ With gold at $4,200/oz, just patiently waiting for the market to re-price BTG t...
Update on Mali Situation - BTG Position
I wanted to share an update on the Mali situation in Bamako which affects our position in B2Gold (BTG). My suspicions have been confirmed that it was French media that was exaggerating the JNIM Al-Qaeda situation (JNIM is a branch of Al-Qaeda)When Al-Qaeda started attacking roads leading into Bamako (capital of Mali) t...
Tariff Stimulus Checks
I made a video about a potential stimulus check from tariff revenue declared by President Trump.My honest assessment is that it’s highly unlikely to happen, don’t hold your breath.The only way it would ever happen is if the economy collapses and Congress desperately needs to prevent an economic disaster in 2026.But...
Silver Added to the U.S. Critical Minerals List
Silver has officially been added to the U.S. Critical Minerals list. This moves silver out of the “precious metal only” category and into the group of materials the government considers essential for national security and the economy. This designation opens the door for government stockpiling, financial support for...
I Am Buying The Dip
I am buying the dip on BTG today, adding to my position.Q3 results were in-line, earnings at $0.14 a share. There was a slower ramp-up at their Goose mine in Canada but guidance still maintained for the 2026 ramp-up.If gold prices maintain, then the P/E ratio for 2026 would be around 5? That is ridiculously low.There h...
BTG Update
We just need to get through this short-term correction before the next leg up. If you’re buying the dip, do so incrementally. It may look like and be a good deal, but the market can be more irrational than you think.
