Sorare Tactics
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GW 489 J1 League Preview
🕑 Added 2024-06-29 02:39:22 +0000 UTCIntro
The GW deadline is today at 3pm CET! Sorare schedule has temporarily changed to align with the Euro 2024 tournament that is ongoing.
The upcoming game week is GW5 and it includes 7 J1 league games tomorrow AND a midweek game between Sagan Tosu and YFM
Sagan will have a double game week with the top scorers for players over both games being scored.
J1 Table
Sapporo lost again. Thats 6 losses in a row and they are looking increasingly doomed. Kyoto conceeded late to a draw 2-2 against Kashiwa. Shonan also picked up a point with things very tight at the bottom.
YFM rotated and lost to a well drilled Fukuoka side who have won 4 of their last 5 games and again doing excellently for their relatively low budget.
Fixtures
The below are the fixtures coming up this GW:
Main Points
Yuma Suzuki (Kashima) and Uchida (Nagoya) are all suspended
Scholz, Sakai and Iwao (Urawa) are all transferring out and unavailable
For Kyoto - injuries for Yamazaki (Ankle), (Toyokawa (unclear, muscle issue/fatigue?), Hirato (calf muscle). Also confirmed that Asada has an ACL injury and out for 6-8 months.
For Iwata - Morioka (cramp imo). Should be available.
For Urawa - Maeda (Ankle). Sekine injured and assumed out. Solbakken went off at half time, not sure if tactical or also injury.
Theres some general rotation risk due to fatigue accumulation from 3 games inside a week in humid conditions. Teams outside Sagan have a week break after this game so that hopefully means regular players can go one more time then rest!
Gamba are undefeated in their last 9 games including 7 wins
Kashima are undefeated in their last 11 league games including 7 wins.
Kashiwa are winless in their last 6 games
Predicted Lineups
Important to note the %s used here. If no %, it means I see them as a starter and no known risks. For sorare, its about there scorer potential so check out KEY PLAYERS even subs have a way :)
When 75% or below - there is some risk involved. My main aim with these is to show where risk/potential DNPs are lurking.
I base these %s on info I read from various sources including comments from the manager and reading a lot of local Japanese news coverage/message boards. Saying that, there will always be unknowns including last minute injury/illness of a player etc.
Always do your own research when making picks. For SO5, it can make sense to take some calculated risks depending on the potential score and the rest of your team/prize pool.
Cerezo vs Nagoya
Cerezo
Beat Sagan Tosu 1-0. Move up to 7th though inconsistent season.
Noborizato is out injured. Maikuma has left so Okuda has been playing at RB
Bueno assumed injured. Uejo has played last two games
Side has been relatively stable. Players like Shabyama, Tameda and Croux offer options
Lots of noise about Kagawa leaving the club. One to monitor for now.
Nagoya
In bad form, winless in 5 league games.
Junker out injured. Uchida suspended this game.
Yonemoto has transferred on loan to Kyoto.
Yamanaka in light training, risk for this game. Kubo can play both wings.
Struggling in attack. Just 1 goal in last 4 games.
Gamba vs Machida
Gamba
Unbeaten in 10 games with 8 wins and 2 draws
Drew 0-0 with Kashima in tough game.
Yamada assumed injured, went off with problem on wkend.
Dawhan vs Lavi as always hard to call. Alano getting increased mins and offers further options and is also a set piece taker.
Machida
Top of the table. Drawn last two games 0-0
Duke, Oh Se Hun, Na Sang Ho remain injured/assumed injured
Oh Se Hun in particular a big miss as they use him as a target man. No info yet on him
Sento and Shibato have been changing spots lots recently
FC Tokyo vs Fukuoka
FC Tokyo
Back to back wins. Unbeaten in 4 games.
Trevisan missed last game, unclear situation. Kimoto went off with an injury, not sure if it was fatigue or something else tbh
Harakawa started midweek, did well. Koizumi could come in but not a cert.
Have been playing with different strategies including not starting Diego. Players like Nakagawa also pushing for a start.
Fukuoka
Unbeaten in 5 games. Beat YFM 2-1 on Wednesday. Up to 8th in the league.
Nara confirmed out for 10-12 months.
Rest of team pretty stable
Urawa vs Iwata
Urawa
Having poor season given expectations as title contenders
Beat Nagoya 1-0 on Wednesday.
Scholz, Iwao and Sakai on brink of transfers out and unavailable.
Solbakken went off at half time, could be injury. Maeda and Sekine also went off with injuries on Wednesday.
Running out of players to use, uncertainty over Nakajima and Okubo too
Watanabe moved to mid with Ohata at LB. Watanabe is naturally a mid so hopefully this continues - did well.
Iwata
Beat Tokyo Verdy 3-0 on Wednesday
Graca likely out with an injury. Morioka went off with cramp on Wednesday, should be fine imo
Germain back from injury and improving in terms of his match sharpness.
Shonan vs Kyoto
Shonan
3rd bottom of the table. Drew 1-1 with Kawasaki after a wonder goal from Tanaka
Without a clean sheet in 8 games
Onose went off with an injury in first half. Hata natural replacement.
Fukuda likely starts up top.
This game involves 2nd bottom vs 3rd bottom
Kyoto
Drew 2-2 against Kashiwa on Wednesday.
Misao, Toyokawa and Yamasaki all went off injured and are doubts, lots of rotation/change in setup risk eg can also play 3 at the back.
Asada also confirmed injured out and out
Kobe vs Kashima
Drew 0-0 with Machida on Wednesday
Osako was benched, assume rested. However, is having poor season compared to last campaign
Ogihara wasnt in squad midweek, some concern around his condition.
Yamakawa expected to come back after suspension. Kikuchi did well but Thuler and Yamakawa very much the trusted duo.
Without a clean sheet against Kashima in their last 6 meetings.
Kashima
Drew 0-0 with Machida on Wednesday. Drawn last 3 games.
Second in table and without a loss in 11 games.
Yuma Suzuki out suspended. Cavric the natural replacement.
Sano is reported to be on the verge of a transfer. Atm assuming hes ok to play though some risk there
Sagan vs Kashiwa
Sagan
Lost a narrow game again Cerezo.
Sagan are 4th bottom, just 1 point above the relegation zone.
Some risk of change in mid and attack esp considering they play again on Wednesday vs YFM
Kashiwa
Stopped a losing run with a last min goal to draw 2-2 on Wednesday.
Dominated the game and playing better than results show imo
Hosoya got only his second goal of the domestic season. Hopefully boosts his confidence.
Matsumoto situation is uncertain. Had been seen in light training a while ago but assumed out.
YFM vs Sagan
This game is on Wednesday night.
Check lineup YFM play today to see who plays. I expect YFM to ROTATE for this game as they play a harder game against Gamba Osaka next weekend
Very hard to use YFM players with any confidence
SO5 Analysis
Best xG - Urawa (1.65 xG),
Best CS - Urawa (41% CS), FC Tokyo (40% CS)
Best Stack - Cerezo, Urawa
The bookies see Urawa as having the best fixture. However, with the departures of key players like Scholz and Sakai alongside a few injuries and recent poor performances im not sure I agree with the odds! However I do like Sato (Scholz replacement for now) and at home this should be a good fixture for them even if not as these odds
FC Tokyo have had back to back clean sheets and against Fukuoka we could see a very low scoring game with a decent chance of a clean sheet for both teams.
Nagoya are struggling in attack and I also like Cerezo for this game.
Sagan Tosu also have a double game week so players who can score well like Ryan and Kawahara have more upside than usual
Finish
Hope you found this useful!
I will post anything major that drops onto Discord before the deadline! Good luck
Comments
Matsuyama
Hey - Gustafsson was ill last week so wasnt able to train/out of the last game. He sounded ok otherwise and will keep an eye on things this week.
Matsuyama
Hey - sorry missed this. Hes going to Qatar :( Big missed. Will do a post on transfers as the window is about to open
Giuseppe Leobilla
Hello, any news about Gustafsson? Thank you
Lewis Blain
Hey Mats, sorry for the ignorance if I've missed info but any ideas where Scholz is off to if he's leaving?
